Wednesday, August 25, 2021

止蝕

又要執倉了。
怎樣挑選持股,作出止蝕?  

傻貓通常先挑那些虧損最嚴重的,然後問自己:

1. 當初點解買入? 個股基本面有冇改變?     當初買入嘅理由,仲存唔存在?

2. 今日唔止蝕,咁如果股價再下跌,跌多幾多,才會止蝕?
自己可以承受嘅最壞情況係點? 股價下跌50%, 會好痛嗎? 會影響生活嗎? 會影響心情嗎?

3. 有沒有其它更加好的選擇?
轉換賽道,未必係壞事。失之東隅,收之桑榆。
好像今年港股失利,美股卻長賺長有。
國家政策常變,但美國有規有矩,有法可依。不確定因素,暫時就是幾時QE收水、加息、經濟幾時全面復甦。

4. 我的組合有必要提高現金比重,減槓桿嗎?


今次執倉,正因槓桿高達1.4
傻貓一向將槓桿維持在1以下,即係冇任何貸款。
我從來唔鍾意欠人錢。所以,1.4係好可怕的數字。

昨天,一哥放假,雖然我食早餐時,又爆喊,但係之後冷靜返。
所以一哥趁我思路清晰,坐在我身邊,睇住我執倉。

股票倉:

DateSoldSymbolStockBoughtSoldLastVolumeFeeDividendValueGain/lose% Gain
13/10/20196823香港電訊-SS$11.14$10.64$10.521600$411.00$3,520.97$16,832.00-$2,102.03-11.53%
19/06/20200939建設銀行$5.79$5.5820000$113.86$111,600.00-$4,213.86-3.64%
15/10/20200697首程控股$2.35$1.6522000$149.72$36,300.00-$15,549.72-29.99%
27/01/20210700騰訊$647.66$471.60400$275.20$188,640.00-$70,700.20-27.26%
29/01/2021MCHIiShares MSCI China ETF$88.44$70.5210$2.96$5,465.37-$1,391.78-20.17%
30/03/20211810小米集團$26.93$25.151000$0.00$25,150.00-$1,780.00-6.61%
12/04/20210345維他奶國際$28.95$19.464000$222.56$77,840.00-$38,182.56-32.91%
04/06/20211448福壽園$7.62$7.216000$97.01$43,260.00-$2,537.01-5.54%
08/07/20210823領展房產基金$74.75$72.20700$101.33$50,540.00-$1,886.33-3.60%

以上股票都造成不同程度的虧損。我這幾天再看看,計算一下合理價,檢視基本面,再決定去留。
當然,也要留意有沒有開short call. 如果有,就別隨便沽貨,以免左一巴、右一巴。

期權倉:
這個比較容易。先看那些股票是真心願意接貨的,就放在一旁。
然後,逐隻秤。不太了解、又未入價的short put 期權,先平倉。
Long side, 本來股價與預期相反,就應該果斷止蝕。而家係蝕得甘,不過都要面對。唔好妄想之後有機會反彈。面對現實啦。

03/08/2021TSLASP1$670.00100$15.45Aug 27$522,600closed$10,082.571.93%
11/08/2021700LC20$520.0100$7.28Aug 30closed-$12,815.12-88.02%
17/08/2021700LC40$520.0100$1.61Aug 30closed-$2,910.00-45.19%
04/06/20211299SP1$92.51000$2.79Aug 30$92,500closed$2,399.002.59%


大概這幾天手上有些持股,股價回升,槓桿已跌回1.2左右了。
這幾天會要求家長,提早預付9月常規班學費,以便留位。
1星期內,減槓至1以下,相信冇難度。

5 comments:

  1. In view of we might have some uncertainties ahead, to review and adjust our existing portfolio and cash flows are necessary in circumstances.
    You're right and smart.
    Good luck.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The biggest uncertainly for me at this moment is when baby Eddy will come to the world.
      If I still hold any long put/long call, it'll be impossible to sell it. That'll incur potential huge financial losses.
      Not sure if that's right to sell securities now but somehow I still think the future of the stock market in mainland China is pretty grim and the US stock market is overheat.

      Delete
    2. i agreed with your observations, it's now a dilemma for choosing.
      Anyway, i believe your baby Eddy will bring you wisdom.

      Delete
  2. 勇於面對,繼續努力!加油!

    ReplyDelete